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Latin America

JANUARY
ARGENTINA
Adolfo Rodríguez Saa resigns as President one week after assuming office. He faced tens of thousands of protesters marching against corruption. Eduardo Duhalde takes over, the fifth President in just 11 days. He devalues the peso by 40 per cent. Economic collapse and a government freeze on bank accounts prompt huge demonstrations.
BRAZIL An estimated 100,000 pro-social justice activists from all over the world gather for a Social Forum in the southern city of Porto Alegre. The purpose is to develop and strengthen alternatives to economic globalization. Similar events are planned for 2003 and 2004.

FEBRUARY
COLOMBIA
Prosecutors in the country’s capital, Bogotá, say that they will try three suspected Irish Republican Army members held on charges of teaching bomb-making to rebels from the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC).
HAITI The CRESFAL research centre on social and economic development is destroyed by a mob of supporters of President Jean-Bertrand Aristide. The homes of Gérard Pierre Charles and Suzy Castor, the centre’s directors, are also burned. Charles is leader of the opposition Democratic Convergence.

MARCH
COLOMBIA
President Pastrana declares a large part of southern Colombia a ‘war zone’ in his first televised address to the nation since peace talks with the revolutionary FARC collapsed. In response activists hold demonstrations in Bogotá.
PERU A car-bomb in Lima, 50 meters from the US embassy, kills 10 and injures dozens. The explosion occurs one day before US President George W Bush is due to visit Peru.

APRIL
VENEZUELA
After a series of strikes and demonstrations in Caracas, a group of military, big business and corrupt union bosses attempts a coup against President Hugo Chávez. Huge counter demonstrations by Chávez supporters tilt the balance and he re-assumes power two days later.

MAY
COLOMBIA
Hardliner Alvaro Uribe is elected President, promising tough action against the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC). Mary Robinson, UN Human Rights Commissioner, accuses Uribe of tacitly supporting right-wing paramilitary groups. Uribe causes a sensation by announcing that 6 out of 13 members of his cabinet will be women.
CUBA Ex-US president Jimmy Carter pays a week-long visit to Cuba, defying the blockade imposed by Washington 40 years ago. Carter meets Fidel Castro several times, gives a long speech in Spanish on human rights and calls for the release of political prisoners. The speech is broadcast live on Cuban TV.

JULY
PERU
Interior Minister Fernando Rospigliosi tells diplomats that the armed forces are on ‘undeclared strike’ following budget cuts and public criticism of their role. Shining Path, the Maoist terrorist group that fell into decline after the capture of its leader Abimael Guzmán in 1992 has been making a reappearance in two key drug-producing regions.
BOLIVIA The peasant leader of the country’s coca growers, Evo Morales, makes it to the second round of the presidential ballot in Bolivia but loses to former President Gonzalo Sánchez de Lozada after the US Government warns that aid will be cut off if the socialist Morales is elected.

SEPTEMBER
COLOMBIA
Carlos Castano, the far-right warlord who admits being responsible for some of the worst human-rights abuses in the country, emerges to deny that he has any connection with drug trafficking and offers to turn himself in if the US seeks his extradition.

OCTOBER
VENEZUELA
The Organization of American States criticizes 14 Venezuelan military officials who issue a public appeal to reject the presidency of Hugo Chávez.
ECUADOR Backed by a coalition of peasants and indigenous people, Lucio Gutiérrez becomes Ecuador’s president.

NOVEMBER
BRAZIL
In a decisive victory, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party (PT) – known everywhere as Lula – becomes the President-elect of Brazil with 61 per cent of the record 86 million total votes cast (see article).

DECEMBER
CHILE
A row over alleged bribes and ‘secret payments’ tarnishes the reputation of five MPs from all the parties who make up the Concertación, a coalition that has been leading the country since the demise of Augusto Pinochet.
HAITI Up to five people are killed and many more wounded in violent clashes involving partisans of opposing parties and the police. Protests are prompted by the failure of political leaders to move towards elections.
VENEZUELA Strikes and unrest once more threaten the government of Hugo Chávez who sends in troops to take control of fuel plants.

Lula leads the way

Brazil's election brought socialist leadership to the continent's biggest country. Roberto Elissalde assesses the serious challenge to economic liberalization that is emerging in Latin America.

The biggest event in Latin America this year was the victory of a 'workers' party' in the region's most powerful capitalist economy, Brazil. When left-wing parties have come to power elsewhere - the Socialists in Spain or the Labour Party in Britain - they have soon caved in to the 'economic realities'. Whether the Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) will do the same is the million-dollar question.

Brazil's Workers' Party, led by the charismatic, ex-trade union organizer Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (widely known as Lula), won more than 52 million votes last October, the largest electoral support for a left-wing party in Brazil's history. Despite the convincing victory, Lula's road to the presidential palace was long and bumpy. It began more than two decades ago and included prison, repression and smear campaigns by right-wing detractors.

But the new Brazilian president is not fuelled by anger or desire for revenge. In fact during the campaign, his fourth one for president, he often spoke of himself as the 'candidate of peace and love'.

The PT has strong democratic foundations which is one reason Lula will have trouble abandoning his radical politics if pressure builds. All political tendencies - from Trotskyites to radical Catholics - are used to chipping in when there are policy debates on major issues. To give up hard-won principles would be impossible without losing a considerable portion of the party with them. The confident air of Lula's campaign seems rooted more in his assertion that Latin America's time to ditch 'the neo-liberal economic experiment' has finally arrived. And he believes he has the Brazilian public on his side.

The PT is by no means the creation of a single man. Lula is a leader with undeniable charm and intelligence but the party has a huge, enthusiastic following which has been patiently built over the past two decades. According to liberation theologian Leonardo Boff, the PT is a mix of three different strands in Brazilian society. First 'the new unionism' and this is really the bedrock of Lula's support; second the old, 'traditional' Left; and third a broad social movement of more than 100 community-based organizations. These include the Landless Movement, gay-rights organizations, and various churches that believe the Christian gospel compels the faithful to fight for social justice - and these churches have millions of followers.

The strength of this alliance has been tested through three electoral defeats. So it's no wonder the PT emerged from its recent victory at the polls sure of its policy goals. To prove the point Lula even chose one of the country's major industrialists, José Alencar, as his Vice-President. Alencar owns 11 textile factories and leads the tiny Liberal Party. He represents the nationalist business class, expressing the will of many entrepreneurs who have been demanding a shift to 'national development' strategies and away from economic globalization with its dependency on imports of foreign capital. Given the prevailing international climate Lula is hard pressed to argue for socialism; instead he's deflecting right-wing critics by talking in general terms about a 'progressive' government that will reach out to Brazil's poor and make the kind of changes that will allow them 'to eat three times a day'.

There are other signs of growing opposition to free-market policies across the region

Lula's nationalist strategy hinges on a pact between business and labour that will boost internal and regional markets, keeping factory production lines humming and unemployment as low as possible. Such an alliance was unthinkable until a few years ago. If the PT's project works it will be an inspiration for other countries across the continent. Lula's first official trip abroad in December 2002 was to meet with Argentina's Eduardo Duhalde. Argentina has been a firm supporter of Washington's efforts to finalize the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas treaty (FTAA). Instead Lula would like to see the re-emergence of a strong regional trading network to reinforce and build Latin American self-reliance: South-South links as opposed to North-South links. Brazil could emerge as a reliable partner for Argentina and other countries in the southern cone in the near future. The PT would like to see an economic partnership similar to the one Germany and France created to lead a united Europe. The end result? An experimental zone of neoliberal-free policies, based on solidarity and mutual respect.

In addition to Brazil there were other signs of growing opposition to free-market policies across the region.

Venezuela's Hugo Chávez continued to be a thorn in Washington's side. The ex-paratrooper turned populist politician sold cheap oil to Cuba and hugged Saddam Hussein, neither action bound to win him friends with his northern neighbour. Chávez also opposed Plan Colombia, a US-led strategy to destroy Colombia's billion-dollar cocaine trade and the assorted Leftist guerrilla groups who've managed to take over large sections of the country. A concerted union against neoliberal policies between Brasilia, Caracas and Havana has been one of Washington's greatest concerns.

But other countries were also showing exasperation with dead-end economic policies. In Ecuador, Lucio Gutierrez was elected President in November after defeating Ilvaro Noboa, a banana tycoon and the country's wealthiest man. Gutierrez, a retired army colonel, participated in the toppling of former President Jamil Mahuad in January 2000. He spoke to Wall Street investors during the election campaign, promising to honor all the Andean nation's contracts, to live with austere fiscal budgets and to pursue an accord with the International Monetary Fund.

However, he may be forced to backtrack if protest in Ecuador continues to grow. The indigenous movement, Pachacutik, which was at the core of the alliance that led Gutierrez to power, has a clearer position. The group opposes the FTAA and wants to reassess Ecuador's adoption of the dollar in March 2000. The group also opposes US troops using Ecuadorian military facilities in the northern city of Manta and rejects privatization of public services as a part of economic 'modernization'.

In neighbouring Bolivia Evo Morales, an indigenous coca grower and leader of the Movement Toward Socialism, came second in last June's presidential race. Morales was called 'unacceptable' by the country's US ambassador because of his clear opposition to economic globalization. 'Capitalism is humankind's worst enemy and environment's worst enemy,' said Morales.

Elsewhere, in El Salvador and Uruguay, opposition movements are close to coming to power through the ballot box, following the same pattern as the PT in Brazil. Leftist political movements in both countries are rooted in decades of opposition to US plans for the continent. Both movements include a broad range of members, from former guerrillas to centre-left organizations, and both have strong track records of working inside traditional power structures.

In Uruguay the Frente Amplio (FA) looks poised to win the next elections in 2004. It also hopes to revive the fading Mercosur free-trade agreement with Brazil, Argentina and Paraguay in a move to bolster regional economic ties and provide an alternative to the US-led FTAA.

These growing links between alternative political parties have been nurtured by the Forum of São Paulo. This pan-American organization was created in 1990 to bring opposition forces together and to develop common policy initiatives. And it has been a huge success, linking the parties that are today either in government or on the verge of it. The victory of the PT in Brazil can only boost its chances of producing a popular alternative to economic globalization.

Roberto Elissalde works with the Instituto Tercer Mundo, Montevideo.

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