THE
constant, high-pitched whine of the space-invaders
in the cafes and bars of Asuncion’s
Calle Palma, the Rubik cubes stacked awkwardly for sale
on its pavements and all the latest electronic wizardry
smuggled from Panama, are a clear sign of the times.
Even Paraguay, surely one of the most mysterious and
isolated countries of the Americas, has been dragged
into the international business circuits that peddle
the wares of the US and Japanese leisure industries.
Yet
these visible tokens of modernity are uncomfortably
juxtaposed with the straggling collection of cattle
foraging for sparse riverside grasses a few blocks
away from the
Presidential Palace — and the horse-drawn delivery
wagons which have to outmanoeuvre the Mercedes in downtown
Asuncion.
By
the early seventies Paraguay had exchanged its role
as Argentina’s stagnant back-garden to become a
part of Brazil’s economic ‘miracle’.
The extension of Brazil’s agribusiness boom into
Paraguay and the two countries’ joint construction
of the largest hydroelectric project in the world gave
Paraguay’s economy the highest rate of growth
in Latin America.
Since
dam construction began in 1973-4, the flow of investment
dollars has financed an unprecedented
boom
in luxury
goods for Paraguay’s rich minority. The bulk of
these are smuggled from Brazil and Argentina — an
arrangement which has the government’s tacit
approval as a means of dispensing favours to the
powerful and
loyal, in much the same way that feudal barons
used to parcel out the fiefdoms.
All
these untaxed imports are crippling the development
of local manufacturing industry, which employs
only 18 per cent of the workforce and generates
just 17
per cent
of Gross Domestic Product. At the same time,
opening up the agricultural frontier has produced many
peasant casualties. Evicted from their land,
they
have migrated
to Asuncion to swell the ‘informal sector’ where
the hours are long, the work scarcely productive
and the wages disgraceful.
Far
from enhancing their security and well-being, the government’s ‘land reform’ has functioned
to supply the agricultural frontier with a cheap labour
force — to prepare the terrain for international,
regional and, to a lesser extent, local agribusiness.
But then how could it be otherwise with economic
policy that favours smuggling, speculation
and all manner of
financial wheeling and dealing and where real
wages have fallen by 12 per cent since 1970?
There
are two big issues in the country at the moment. The
first is the long-term question
of
what Paraguay
should do with the huge amounts of electricity
from its hydroelectric projects. The second
is whether
President Stroessner will perpetuate the
dictatorship which he
has presided over since 1954. There are deep
divisions over whether to sell the electricity
or use it
to industrialise the country. And there is
mounting speculation that
Stroessner
won’t stand in the presidential elections
next year.
Anthony
Hill