new internationalist
issue 214 - December 1990


Voodoo Economics
A thumbnail sketch of the global finance system and
just where the World Bank fits in.
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Beggar-thy-neighbour
The 1930s was a decade of terrible financial turbulence
with bankruptcies massive unemployment, hunger marches,
rampaging inflation and the rise of fascism. Faced with economic
chaos governments tried to recover by boosting exports, even if
they had to devalue their currency and slash imports. Global Trade
skidded to a halt. Between 1929 and 1932 the total value of international
trade fell by more than 60 per cent. With currencies constantly
being devalued people lost confidence in paper money and began
to demand payment in gold. Nations without gold reserves soon
abandoned the gold standard which caused even greater confusion.
The result was the 'Great Depression'.
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War is good business
Weapons production for World War Two started the
mills and factories humming again. When the end of the conflict
in sight the Allies (especially the Americans and British) were
determined to smooth the way for continued economic growth and
avoid another depression. At a 1944 meeting in Bretton Woods,
New Hampshire, they hammered out a framework for economic stability.
It was agreed that member states should fix the value of their
currencies in either gold or the US dollar equivalent.
The conference set up both the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development
(IBRD) - otherwise known as the World Bank. The IMF's job was
to maintain stable exchange rates, reduce barriers to free trade
and help members deal with temporary trade deficits. The Bank
was to finance long-term development projects, initially in war-ravaged
Europe and Japan. In 1946 the General Agreement on Tariffs and
Trade (GATT) was formed to run the international trading system
and to settle trade disputes between member states.
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Boom and gloom
Nervous about Soviet expansionism, the US launched
the Marshall Plan to help rebuild Europe and Japan as bulwarks
against the spread of communism. From 1948-52 nearly $12 billion
(five per cent of the US GNP) went into post-war reconstruction.
The IMF and the World Bank threw in another $3 billion. The 'Fled
Scare' and the Korean War helped boost US military spending and
heat up the US economy even more.
This was America's golden decade of consumerism:
TV dinners, giant tin-tailed Chevrolets and cavernous refrigerators.
By the late 1950s Europe and Japan had recovered from the wartime
bombing. Modern factories supplied local markets and began to
look overseas for export opportunities. Naturally this included
the ex-colonies with which industrial powers had a special relationship.
Western-based multinational corporations expanded into Asia, Latin
America and parts of Africa. Meanwhile the US flooded sensitive
Third World countries with aid to undercut the success of Castro's
Cuba. This was the era of 'Pax Americana'.
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Decolonization
By the 1960s much of the Third World had won political
independence from former colonial rulers. But not without a fight.
The French fought bitter wars in Vietnam and Algeria, the Portuguese
dug in against liberation forces in Angola and Mozambique and
the British fought rearguard actions in Kenya and Aden. But political
sovereignty did not bring economic independence. Even Latin America
(which achieved independence more than a century earlier) was
caught in a global economic system established over centuries
of colonial pillage. Raw materials were exported at cut-rate prices
while manufactured goods were imported from ex-colonial powers.
As the decade progressed the World Bank, USAID and
other Western aid agencies pumped billions into the Third World
in the name of development. The money was earmarked for big projects
like roads, power grids, dams and ports, all of which were to
pave the way to future prosperity. With such vast sums floating
around, corruption, aided and abetted by cynical Western business
began to flourish.
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False promises
The price the Third World received for basic exports
went up and down like a rollercoaster; most of the time it was
too low to cover the cost of manufactured imports. Then OPEC (the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries) discovered the
power of collective action. In 1973, OPEC agreed the price of
oil (the lifeblood of Western society) was too cheap. Within a
year the oil-exporting nations quadrupled the price. Arab oil
dollars were then deposited in Western banks which were desperate
to reinvest them.
And Third World leaders were keen to oblige: interest
rates were low and terms easy. Money was needed to cushion the
blow of high oil prices and pay for grandiose mega-projects whether
a nuclear reactor in the Phillippines or Mirage jets in Peru.
Commercial bank loans to the Third World increased by 550 per
cent from 1973-80.
The general economic buoyancy of the decade was
reflected in the slow but steady rise in the price of Third World
exports. In this up-beat atmosphere leaders like Michael Manley
of Jamaica and Julius Nyerere of Tanzania called for a New International
Economic Order, a Code of Conduct for multinational corporations
and a Common Fund to insulate. Third World commodity producers
from the vagaries of the global market. It was a heady time indeed.
But not for long.
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The debt trap
When OPEC bumped up oil prices again in 1979 the
new economic doctrine of monetarism became fashionable. Inflation
was fought with high interest rates, unemployment and a deliberate
recession - which eventually triggered the debt crisis
of the l980s. Third World commodity prices fell as Western markets
collapsed; the rapid rise in interest rates doubled and in some
cases tripled the cost of debt service. By 1985 the combined Third
World debt hit a trillion dollars.
So where did all the money go? A lot was squandered
on weapons, but much more was pocketed by local elites and diverted
into overseas bank accounts. The capital flight from Mexico alone
from 1979-83 is estimated at $90 billion - more than the
entire Mexican debt. The recession made global money managers
nervous. New loans were being contracted simply to meet interest
payments on past debt.
When Mexico refused to service its debt in 1982
the IMF jumped into the fray with the first of its 'structural
adjustment' loans (SAPs). To pay foreign creditors, debtor countries
were advised to boost exports and cut local consumption to increase
foreign exchange earnings. As more countries were forced to take
the IMF medicine, the World Bank also entered the structural adjustment
business. By 1988, nearly a third of World Bank loans had strict
Conditions attached.
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Recolonization
By 1990 SAPs were in place across much of the Third
World. The result was a massive haemorrhage of wealth from the
poor nations to the rich - an estimated $50 billion in 1985 alone.
Co-operation between the IMF and the World Bank has meant that
Third World nations continue to pay the interest on their debts
even as they accumulate new ones. The social effects have been
devastating: increased malnutrition, illiteracy, infant mortality
and poverty. UNICEF estimates a half million children died in
1988 alone as a result of debt-induced austerity measures.
World Bank and IMF staff now exert more power in
some Third World countries than government ministers. There is
little proof their policies do anything more than help bankers
collect interest. In fact competition for scarce export markets
holds down prices and depresses wages. The main winners have been
Western consumers and multinational corporations who benefit from
both low commodity prices and low Third World wages. Resentment
is growing in the poor nations as World Bank/IMF policies increase
the drain of wealth from South to North and reinforce the inequality
of the global system.
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